Ek Trade Mein Kitna Risk Lena Chahiye?
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30-second summary
- Rule
- Kharidne se pehle nuksan tay karein
- Aam limit
- Account ka 1-2%
- Formula
- Risk ÷ (entry − stop)
- Faisla
- Arithmetic se, bharose se nahi
Trade lagane se pehle tay kar lijiye ki aap zyada se zyada kitna nuksan seh sakte hain — apne account ka ek fixed percentage, aam taur par 1% ya 2%. Iske baad position size sirf arithmetic hai: us rupee amount ko entry price aur stop price ke beech ke antar se divide kar dijiye.
Main baatein
- Kitna rupaya kho sakte hain, yeh entry se pehle tay karein — baad mein kabhi nahi.
- Position size ek calculation ka natija hai, trade par apne bharose ka nahi.
- Stop jitna door hoga, position utni chhoti hogi — taaki total risk wahi rahe.
- Yeh pura tareeka tabhi kaam karta hai jab aap stop ko sach mein maanein.
Nuksan pehle kyun tay karein?
Zyadatar naye log pehle yeh tay karte hain ki kitna kharidna hai, aur baad mein pata chalta hai ki kitna ja sakta hai. Yeh ulta hai. Trade ka sirf ek hissa poori tarah aapke haath mein hai — price aapke haath mein nahi hai, lekin aapki bet ka size hai.
Nuksan pehle fix karne se ek emotional faisla arithmetic ka faisla ban jata hai. Ab sawaal “mujhe kitna bharosa hai?” nahi rehta — aur yeh bharosa aksar theek galat waqt par sabse zyada hota hai. Sawaal ban jata hai: “mera rule kitni ijazat deta hai?”
Ek hi rule
Koi bhi trade lene se pehle tay kijiye ki is trade par aap apne account ka zyada se zyada kitna hissa kho sakte hain. Zyadatar log ise ek fixed percentage mein likhte hain — aam taur par 1% ya 2%.
Percentage kitna hai, yeh utna maayne nahi rakhta; maayne yeh rakhta hai ki wo badalta nahi. Fixed fraction ka matlab hai ki nuksan ke baad aapki position apne aap chhoti ho jati hai, aur account wapas badhne par apne aap badhti hai — aapko us waqt kuch tay nahi karna padta.
Position size nikaalna
Teen input, ek division. Yeh banaye hue round numbers hain, sirf arithmetic dikhane ke liye:
| Input | Example value |
|---|---|
| Account size | 1,00,000 |
| Per trade risk | 1% = 1,000 |
| Entry price | 500 |
| Stop price | 475 |
| Per share risk (entry−stop) | 25 |
| Kitne share | 1,000 ÷ 25 = 40 |
500 ke bhaav par 40 share matlab 20,000 rupaye ki position — account ka paanchwa hissa. Lekin risk sirf 1,000 rupaye hai, kyunki stop sirf 25 rupaye door hai. Yeh do alag numbers hain, aur inhe aapas mein mila dena naye logon ki sabse badi galti hai.
Rounding par dhyaan dijiye. Hamesha neeche round karein — upar round karna us rule ko todta hai jiske liye yeh pura tareeka bana hai.
Stop door hone par position chhoti kyun?
Yeh hissa logon ko chaukata hai. Baaki sab wahi rakhiye aur sirf stop ko door kar dijiye:
| Stop price | Per share risk | Share (1,000 ÷ risk) | Lagaya gaya paisa |
|---|---|---|---|
| 475 | 25 | 40 | 20,000 |
| 450 | 50 | 20 | 10,000 |
| 400 | 100 | 10 | 5,000 |
Har row mein sambhavit nuksan wahi 1,000 rupaye hai. Position badalti hai taaki risk na badle. Yahi poora point hai: stop size tay karta hai, aur size risk ko sthir rakhta hai.
Yeh kahan kaam nahi karta
Teen saaf-saaf limits, teeno padhne layak:
- Yeh tabhi chalta hai jab aap stop maanein. Jis rule ko aap khud tod dein wo rule nahi hai. Agar koi nuksan se bachne ke liye stop neeche khiska deta hai, toh yeh tareeka uski koi raksha nahi karta.
- Gap aapke stop ko nahi maanta. Agar price aapke stop se kaafi neeche khulta hai, toh aapko market jo de wahi milega, aapka number nahi. Plan kiya hua nuksan aapke iraade ki seema hai, guarantee nahi.
- Yeh nahi batata ki trade achha hai ya nahi. Sizing sirf galat hone ka nuksan seemit karti hai. Yeh aapko sahi nahi banati, aur lagataar kharab faislon par sahi sizing bhi bura hi anjaam deti hai.
Yeh kaise calculate hua
Is article mein koi market data nahi hai. Har number ek banaya hua round figure hai jo sirf arithmetic samajhne ke liye chuna gaya hai, aur text mein use example kaha gaya hai. Koi security ka naam nahi liya gaya aur kisi natije ka daava nahi kiya gaya.
Sources
- Is site ka framework reference: Fixed-Fractional Position Sizing
- Van K. Tharp, Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom (1998)
Aksar poochhe jaane wale sawaal
"Per trade 1% risk" ka matlab kya hai?
Matlab yeh ki agar trade aapke khilaf gaya aur stop lag gaya, toh aapka poore account ka 1% jaayega — position ka 1% nahi. 1,00,000 rupaye ke account par yeh 1,000 rupaye hua, chahe aapne 10 share liye hon ya 500.
Shares ki sankhya kaise nikaalein?
Jitna rupaya risk karna hai use entry aur stop ke beech ke per-share antar se divide kar dijiye. Agar aap 1,000 rupaye ka nuksan sweekar karte hain aur stop entry se 25 rupaye neeche hai, toh 40 share banenge, kyunki 40 guna 25 hota hai 1,000.
Agar calculation kahe ki sirf do share ban rahe hain toh?
Yeh tareeka kaam kar raha hai, fail nahi ho raha. Bahut chhota size aapko bata raha hai ki stop, entry se aapke account ke hisaab se zyada door hai. Ya toh aisi entry dhoondhiye jo sensible stop ke paas ho, ya wo trade chhod dijiye.
Kya isse pakka ho jata hai ki zyada nuksan nahi hoga?
Nahi. Yeh har us trade ka nuksan seemit karta hai jise aap apne stop par band karte hain, lekin lagataar kai nuksan hone se nahi rokta. Aur gap down mein price seedha stop ke neeche khul sakta hai, jisse asli nuksan plan se zyada ho jata hai.
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